Employment Projections for Arts, A/V Technology, and Communications, 2010-2020

Related Posts: Why Care About Occupation Data Career Cluster Projections More Cluster Information National Cluster Framework: Career Clusters At-A-Glance Detailed Occupation Analysis: Occupational Outlook Handbook

The Arts, A/V Technology, and Communications career cluster is expected to grow only slightly over the next decade. According to Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) estimates, this cluster employed 2.2 million people nationwide in 2010 and will only add about 150,000 new jobs by 2020. The cluster is expected to grow by 7% between 2010 and 2020, growing more slowly than average compared to other clusters and the national average of 14%.

Cluster Overview:

Expectations for Change, 2010-2020
Arts and the media exert such a huge influence over American life that many don't realize how small this cluster is and how few job opportunities it provides. Ten times more people work in the Business Management and Administration cluster than are found in Arts, A/V Technology, and Communications. The business cluster is also expected to grow almost twice as fast as the arts cluster.

Employment Projections for Business Management and Administration, 2010-2020

Related Posts: Why Care About Occupation Data Career Cluster Projections More Cluster Information National Cluster Framework: Career Clusters At-A-Glance Detailed Occupation Analysis: Occupational Outlook Handbook

Writing about occupation change in the Business Management and Administration  career cluster is particularly difficult this year because the cluster definition and pathways have been dramatically revised, but the "crosswalk" that matches Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) occupation data to the cluster and its pathways has not. A new crosswalk is underway and might be available later this year.

In my first overview article about the new employment projections for career clusters, I used the existing crosswalk without any modifications. For this much more detailed discussion, however, I think it is important to try to show what the employment picture for Business Management and Administration might look like after the new crosswalk is complete. I will also include some information on how the cluster looks with the original set of occupations matched to it, just to maintain continuity with my earlier articles and other important pieces that use the original crosswalk, particularly the NASDCTEc-sponsored Career Clusters research.

Employment Projections for Education and Training, 2010-2020

<   Related Posts: Why Care About Occupation Data Career Cluster Projections More Cluster Information National Cluster Framework: Career Clusters At-A-Glance Detailed Occupation Analysis: Occupational Outlook Handbook

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) projects that the Education and Training career cluster will add about 1.5 million new jobs nationwide between 2010 and 2020. The cluster had about 10 million workers in 2010 and is expected to grow to over 11.5 million.  Overall, this cluster is expected to have an employment growth rate of almost 16 percent, which is about average compared to other clusters and the national average of 14%.

Cluster Overview: Expectations for Change, 2010-2020

Employment in the Education and Training cluster is driven primarily by school enrollments. Enrollment in elementary and secondary schools tends to follow the general rate of population growth for children. Enrollment in postsecondary institutions is increasing faster than population growth because more high school graduates attend college and more members of the workforce seek additional education. Most education, training, and library jobs are in public education, but the BLS expects that growth will be faster in private schools, colleges, universities, and professional schools.

Employment Projections for Agriculture, Food, and Natural Resources, 2010-2020

Related Posts: Why Care About Occupation Data Career Cluster Projections More Cluster Information National Cluster Framework: Career Clusters At-A-Glance Detailed Occupation Analysis: Occupational Outlook Handbook

The Agriculture, Food, and Natural Resources career cluster is expected to add only a marginal number of new jobs over the next decade. Based on Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) estimates, this cluster employed 4.6 million workers in 2010. The BLS projects the addition of about 250,000 new jobs by 2020, expecting that the cluster will grow more slowly than average at about 5%.

Cluster Overview:

Expectations for Change, 2010-2020

Employment Projections for Architecture and Construction, 2010-2020

Related Posts: Why Care About Occupation Data Career Cluster Projections More Cluster Information National Cluster Framework: Career Clusters At-A-Glance Detailed Occupation Analysis: Occupational Outlook Handbook

Employment in the Architecture and Construction career cluster is expected to grow faster than average over the next decade. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) estimates that nationwide employment in Architecture and Construction occupations was just over 9 million in 2010 and expects employment to grow to just over 11 million in 2020. This represents the addition of two million new jobs, and an increase in employment of 22 percent, making Architecture and Construction one of this decade's fastest growing pathways.

According to the BLS news release announcing this recent set of employment projections, "More than one-fourth of the projected fastest growing occupations are related to construction. Employment in most of these occupations, still at low levels in 2010 because of the 2007-09 recession, will recover along with the construction industry. But employment in most construction occupations is not expected to reach pre-recession levels."

Industry Trends from LinkedIn

Related Posts: USA Today Industry Forecasts Where the Jobs Will Be in 2020

I devote a lot of attention to the data that comes from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) because that's the longest running, most consistent, and most reliable set of data that we have on occupations and employment today. But modern data gathering companies and modern data mining techniques are producing new and interesting sets of data that we should be considering as well.

LinkedIn has just published some interesting information on industry trends based, in part, on analysis of LinkedIn participant profiles. Their analysis names and classifies industries very differently than the BLS does, and their list of industries does not appear to be comprehensive. Education doesn't seem to be included, and Manufacturing is either missing or distributed among a number of other categories. Nonetheless, I think these data illustrate some trends that are also apparent in BLS data.

Industry Employment Forecasts

Related Posts: National Projections Highlights

Want a quick graphical display of what's happening to employment in your area? USA Today has a new site that shows  employment forecasts* by industry for states and metropolitan areas, including Charlottesville, Danville, Richmond, Virginia Beach, and other places in Virginia.

The USA Today site shows (through the use of graphs) employment by quarter from 2007 through 2011 and projects employment through 2015. Even more interesting, the site breaks down employment by industry sector, illustrating the different employment patterns in construction, education, manufacturing, and other industries. This is an easy-to-use site for students doing career research or for CTE professionals who want to keep an eye on changing job prospects in their area of interest.